Financial crisis indicators

We have already established that directors carry significant personal responsibility for decisions made in the course of directing the company, and the Companies Act, (amongst other legislation) contains various provisions in terms of which directors of failed companies may be held personally liable for losses in the event of the company going out of business. Directors are therefore expected to be especially vigilant and look out for signals indicating that the company could be heading towards a financial crisis.

Sound management reporting and maintaining close contact with the company could alert directors to potential danger.

Some of the more obvious warning signs could be:

Financial

continuing losses or substantial unexpected losses
  • declining turnover
  • working capital deficiencies
  • fixed term borrowings approaching maturity without realistic prospects of renewal or repayment
  • excessive reliance on short term borrowings to finance long-term assets
  • denial of usual credit terms by suppliers and other creditors
  • negative cash flows from operating activities, either historical or projected
  • adverse financial ratios
  • significant deterioration in the value of assets used to generate cash flows
  • inability to pay creditors on due dates
  • inability to comply with the terms of loan agreements
  • inability to obtain finance
  • failure to prepare reliable profit and cash flow projections
  • inadequate explanations for variances between actual and budgeted performance
  • recent significant fall in share price
  • undue exposure to interest and currency fluctuations

    • Operational

      loss of principal customer or supplier
    • loss of key management without replacement
    • substantial dependence on the success of a particular project
    • loss of a key franchise, license or patent
    • labour difficulties or shortages of important supplies
    • reliance on a single product or market
    • resistance to abandonment of a marginally profitable venture
    • lack of corporate planning
    • deteriorating customer relations

      • Regulatory and legal

        non-compliance with capital or other statutory requirements
      • pending legal or regulatory proceedings against the company that could result in claims that are unlikely to be satisfied
      • changes in legislation or government policy that may adversely affect the company
      • insufficient review of compliance with a range of legislative requirements

        • Management

          unhealthily close relationship between the chairman and chief executive
        • dissatisfaction of staff caused by delays in obtaining approvals and decisions
        • boardroom conflict and indecision
        • inappropriate management structures
        • inappropriate filtering of information to the board
        • decisions taken unilaterally without consulting the board
        • decisions favour certain interest groups and not in company's best interests
        • irregular or minimal contact with executive staff
        • high staff turnover and poor morale
        • deteriorating relationships between directors and management

          • Other

            auditors identifying significant control problems and disagreeing with management on material issues
          • negative media coverage of company performance
          • infrequent review of physical security and insurance

            • Directors’ role in a failing company

              A company that trades while insolvent can render its directors liable to both criminal and civil penalties. Directors can be held personally liable for the debts of a company which, despite being insolvent, recklessly continues trading [§ 424]. This liability extends equally to executive and non-executive directors.

              The risk of a director being held personally liable means that directors of a failing company need to make swift and effective decisions and seek professional advice immediately they become aware of a potential crisis.


              Key questions:

              • As a director am I constantly aware of these indicators of a potential financial crisis, and how should I respond?